Israelis vote on Tuesday 27 October 2026 to elect all 120 members of the Knesset, with final polls suggesting the election will settle very little on its own: no bloc is near the 61 seats needed to govern, so post-vote coalition talks are likely to matter more than which party finishes first.

What the final polls show

The final major television polls, published on Friday 23 October, put Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar narrowly ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud: Channel 12 gave 23 seats against 21, Kan 11 gave 22 against 20, and Channel 13 gave 22 against 19. Naftali Bennett's B'Yachad ranked third in all three, with 14 to 15 seats.

On blocs, the three surveys agreed: the Netanyahu-aligned bloc stood at 50 seats in each, the opposition bloc at 52 to 56, and Arab parties at 14 to 16. None of the four surveys examined by poll trackers placed either principal bloc independently above the 61-seat threshold.

One survey differed sharply: i24NEWS put Likud first on 26 seats against 21 for Yashar, with the Netanyahu bloc at 59, while Channel 14 put Likud on 30 and its bloc on 62. Poll trackers caution these are separate measurements using different methods, not evidence of a sudden shift.

Why the largest party may not govern

Israelis vote for party lists, not directly for a prime minister, and only lists passing the 3.25% threshold win seats. No party has ever won 61 alone, and the opposition is fragmented, with Bennett and Avigdor Liberman holding their own premiership ambitions and neither having endorsed Eisenkot.

Most polling stations are open from 7am to 10pm. On 28 October, Israelis may know which party won the most seats, but who leads the next government could take weeks or months to resolve.